Now let's discuss a calculation used when studying monetary policy. It's called the Taylor rule. So the Taylor rule, I want to make a note real quick. This is something you generally deal with more in higher-level economic classes, but sometimes they like to mention it here and a lot of times it's just knowing what it is. You might not even have to do these calculations, so I would suggest double-checking with your professor. But let's go through it just in case you need to know it. The Taylor rule links the Federal target the Fed's target for the Federal Funds Rate to several economic variables. Okay? So we're thinking about what is the Federal Funds Rate that the Fed wants to set and this goes back to that money market, right? What is that equilibrium interest rate that the Fed wants? So remember that the federal fund rate is the interest rate banks give to other banks on overnight loans. So this is generally when they need to meet reserve requirements. They need a certain amount of reserves for their level of deposits and they get a short-term loan just to meet these requirements. And those loans are given at this interest rate, the federal funds rate. So the Fed is regularly making decisions to get to the correct, in quotations, Federal Funds Rate, right? They want to set the Federal Funds Rate where they think is best for the economy. Now, I want to make a note about the Taylor rule is that the Fed does not use the Taylor rule. This is an approximation that this smart dude, John Taylor made. He made this mathematical approximation of how the Fed sets their target funds rate the target federal funds rate. Okay? So let's get into the calculation now. So the target Federal Funds Rate is going to be composed of these variables here. First, it's the current inflation rate. What is the inflation rate currently in the economy? Plus the equilibrium real federal funds rate. So this is also going to be basically the equilibrium real federal funds rate is adjusted for inflation. So the current inflation rate is equal to actual inflation and here we've got equilibrium real. And this is generally given to you in the problems. It's going to have to be given and it's generally set as 2% is the target that the Fed has for this number. So equilibrium real federal funds rate and notice, this might look complicated but they're going to have to give you all of this information in the problem. There's really not so much math that goes on. So the sum of the first two terms is where the federal funds rate would be at long-run equilibrium. That's where they want it to be, and it's generally 4%. They generally target for 2% in inflation and 2% in equilibrium there as well. Now, the last two terms make it look a little complicated, but it's not that bad. The inflation gap, it's the difference between the current inflation and the target and the Fed usually sets the target at 2%. The target is generally 2% for inflation. So the inflation gap equals current inflation minus target. So you can get a negative number here. You can get a negative current minus target for the inflation gap and you can also get a negative number for the output gap as well. So the output gap deals with GDP. So we've got the inflation gap and then the output gap which is the difference. It equals the current GDP minus the potential GDP. The potential GDP of the economy, right? What is the total GDP that they could have?
Table of contents
- 1. Introduction to Macroeconomics1h 57m
- 2. Introductory Economic Models59m
- 3. Supply and Demand3h 43m
- Introduction to Supply and Demand10m
- The Basics of Demand7m
- Individual Demand and Market Demand6m
- Shifting Demand44m
- The Basics of Supply3m
- Individual Supply and Market Supply6m
- Shifting Supply28m
- Big Daddy Shift Summary8m
- Supply and Demand Together: Equilibrium, Shortage, and Surplus10m
- Supply and Demand Together: One-sided Shifts22m
- Supply and Demand Together: Both Shift34m
- Supply and Demand: Quantitative Analysis40m
- 4. Elasticity2h 26m
- Percentage Change and Price Elasticity of Demand19m
- Elasticity and the Midpoint Method20m
- Price Elasticity of Demand on a Graph11m
- Determinants of Price Elasticity of Demand6m
- Total Revenue Test13m
- Total Revenue Along a Linear Demand Curve14m
- Income Elasticity of Demand23m
- Cross-Price Elasticity of Demand11m
- Price Elasticity of Supply12m
- Price Elasticity of Supply on a Graph3m
- Elasticity Summary9m
- 5. Consumer and Producer Surplus; Price Ceilings and Price Floors3h 40m
- Consumer Surplus and WIllingness to Pay33m
- Producer Surplus and Willingness to Sell26m
- Economic Surplus and Efficiency18m
- Quantitative Analysis of Consumer and Producer Surplus at Equilibrium28m
- Price Ceilings, Price Floors, and Black Markets38m
- Quantitative Analysis of Price Ceilings and Floors: Finding Points20m
- Quantitative Analysis of Price Ceilings and Floors: Finding Areas54m
- 6. Introduction to Taxes1h 25m
- 7. Externalities1h 3m
- 8. The Types of Goods1h 13m
- 9. International Trade1h 16m
- 10. Introducing Economic Concepts49m
- Introducing Concepts - Business Cycle7m
- Introducing Concepts - Nominal GDP and Real GDP12m
- Introducing Concepts - Unemployment and Inflation3m
- Introducing Concepts - Economic Growth6m
- Introducing Concepts - Savings and Investment5m
- Introducing Concepts - Trade Deficit and Surplus6m
- Introducing Concepts - Monetary Policy and Fiscal Policy7m
- 11. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Consumer Price Index (CPI)1h 37m
- Calculating GDP11m
- Detailed Explanation of GDP Components9m
- Value Added Method for Measuring GDP1m
- Nominal GDP and Real GDP22m
- Shortcomings of GDP8m
- Calculating GDP Using the Income Approach10m
- Other Measures of Total Production and Total Income5m
- Consumer Price Index (CPI)13m
- Using CPI to Adjust for Inflation7m
- Problems with the Consumer Price Index (CPI)6m
- 12. Unemployment and Inflation1h 22m
- Labor Force and Unemployment9m
- Types of Unemployment12m
- Labor Unions and Collective Bargaining6m
- Unemployment: Minimum Wage Laws and Efficiency Wages7m
- Unemployment Trends7m
- Nominal Interest, Real Interest, and the Fisher Equation10m
- Nominal Income and Real Income12m
- Who is Affected by Inflation?5m
- Demand-Pull and Cost-Push Inflation6m
- Costs of Inflation: Shoe-leather Costs and Menu Costs4m
- 13. Productivity and Economic Growth1h 17m
- 14. The Financial System1h 37m
- 15. Income and Consumption52m
- 16. Deriving the Aggregate Expenditures Model1h 22m
- 17. Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply Analysis1h 18m
- 18. The Monetary System1h 1m
- The Functions of Money; The Kinds of Money8m
- Defining the Money Supply: M1 and M24m
- Required Reserves and the Deposit Multiplier8m
- Introduction to the Federal Reserve8m
- The Federal Reserve and the Money Supply11m
- History of the US Banking System9m
- The Financial Crisis of 2007-2009 (The Great Recession)10m
- 19. Monetary Policy1h 32m
- 20. Fiscal Policy1h 0m
- 21. Revisiting Inflation, Unemployment, and Policy46m
- 22. Balance of Payments30m
- 23. Exchange Rates1h 16m
- Exchange Rates: Introduction14m
- Exchange Rates: Nominal and Real13m
- Exchange Rates: Equilibrium6m
- Exchange Rates: Shifts in Supply and Demand11m
- Exchange Rates and Net Exports6m
- Exchange Rates: Fixed, Flexible, and Managed Float5m
- Exchange Rates: Purchasing Power Parity7m
- The Gold Standard4m
- The Bretton Woods System6m
- 24. Macroeconomic Schools of Thought40m
- 25. Dynamic AD/AS Model35m
- 26. Special Topics11m
19. Monetary Policy
Taylor Rule
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